Guns, The Cliff, The Right, & The Left

It’s madness all around!!

In my last post "The Fiscal Cliff" I quoted The Brady Center to Prevent Gun Violence as reporting that more than 30,000 people are killed by guns in this nation each year. This is mostly in our cities and in our poor African-American communities, but it has not, and continues not to raise the conscience of the media or the Nation. But 20 children and six adults killed in a suburb in Connecticut get two weeks of coverage and a Nation outraged. Something is wrong with our values.

Wayne LaPierre, the NRA’s executive Vice President, speaks and says that the answer to gun violence is more guns, every cable news channel covers his speech. The following Sunday all the Sunday morning news programs have a representative of the NRA on their show. Why? Why?

Who in Hell is the NRA? They have been represented by the media as the representative of gun owners, of hunters, of sportsmen. Are they? According to their own website they have four million members. The adult population of the United States is 250 million adults over the age of 18.  

Four million is a tiny percentage. The NRA speaks only for the gun manufacturing industry. The media has allowed the myth that they speak for anyone else. Annual membership in the NRA costs only $25.-  so they clearly don't get their money from their members. They get it from gun manufacturers. The NRA speaks only for the gun manufacturing industry. The media has allowed the myth that they speak for anyone else.

It is time to unmask this charade!!!

As for the Cliff, the Right claims they are worried about the deficit, but reducing it by increasing tax revenues from the income tax, or the estate tax, or the capital gains tax, or on dividends is opposed fanatically. Do they really care about the deficit? Or is that just a ruse for their true desire to, in the words of their hero, Grover Glenn Norquist, “just want to shrink it (government) down to the size where we can drown it in the bathtub.”

The Left e.g. Paul Krugman, insist that the best think for the economy is an increased deficit, at least in the short run. But they are adamant that taxes on the rich must be raised, which lowers the deficit and going over the cliff would have decreased the deficit by a hell of a lot.

They tell us that the most important thing that our government can do is increase jobs, but they seem to almost relish the idea of going over the cliff, which would cost untold jobs. They described any deal as a bad deal that reduces entitlement benefits by one iota, but this deal gave not one inch on entitlements, and they call it a bad deal.

I must admit that I find myself disappointed by the deal in that it did not raise enough revenue. But for me that makes sense, since I believe that debt does matter. But if you argue that it doesn’t, why is this important? But as I read the reports I come away with the feeling that the early estimates of how much revenue was raised are just that, early estimates. I have a feeling that these early estimates do not take into account the reductions in exemptions or other aspects. The “deal” may yet show much more revenue estimates than are now being recognized.

In the words of our self-described Socialist Senator from Vermont, Bernie Sanders:

This agreement preserves incentives for the development of clean energy by encouraging companies that are creating jobs in America and helping reduce the greenhouse gas emissions that cause global warming. That is a win-win for our economy and our environment. In Vermont and across the country, hundreds of wind manufacturing plants already are producing wind turbines, and the industry is providing jobs for 75,000 American workers. The fact that we have doubled wind generation since 2008 is an American success story. Extending the Production Tax Credit means we can continue the tremendous growth in wind and other safe, clean, renewable sources energy that must be developed if we are to reverse global warming. 

This agreement also is a major victory for Social Security recipients and for disabled veterans. Despite an eleventh-hour bid by Senate Republicans, the final bill does not include their proposed change in how cost-of-living adjustments are calculated. As the founder of the Defending Social Security Caucus and the incoming chairman of the Senate Veterans’ Affairs Committee, I am proud that organizations representing seniors and veterans worked together to block the switch to a so-called chained CPI as a way to cut future benefits for more than 55 million Americans.

But regardless of anything else, the President is our quarterback and unlike others, I refuse to indulge in the “Monday morning quarterback” syndrome.

What is obvious is that the President is first and foremost concerned with the economy and jobs. He is not willing to let the economy tank and the progress we have made in creating jobs to be stymied. The deal caused a huge jump in the markets throughout the world, and as for jobs, quoting Reuters: “(t)he ADP National Employment Report showed the private sector added 215,000 jobs in December, comfortably above economists' expectation of a 133,000 gain.” That is something to be celebrated.

I have great difficulty understanding my friends on the Left.

When Bill Clinton “triangulated” and signed into law a devastating revision in our “Aid to Families with Dependant Children," put into place the outrageous “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell” in our military, signed DOMA into law, acquiesced in the repeal of Glass-Steagal, and allowed an outrageous new bankruptcy law that denied bankruptcy to people with excessive credit card debt, (See here for my comments on May 5th, 2009) and famously said “The era of big government is over” the Left for the most part was quiet. Now that we have a President who fights for our values, it is never good enough, and we act like “Monday morning quarterbacks” at every turn.

I know! I heard it over and over again! “We are only trying to get him to do the right thing.” But what is “the right thing” in an age of intransient sabotage, of hostage taking of our economy, or in the words of the former Treasury Secretary in the Republican Administration of G.W. Bush, PaulO’Neill, “Those Who Won’t Raise Debt Ceiling Are Terrorists”.

When terrorists take hostages and demand a ransom, those who care about the hostage must always ask themselves, “Do we let them kill the hostage?” or do we pay ransom. How much? Do we pay a little to keep the hostage alive, or do we pay a lot to have the hostage released. These are always agonizing questions. The quarterback must call the plays. The second guessers and the “Monday Morning Quarterbacks” must stand down.

E.J. Dionne, writing in the Wahington Post said:

To be deemed a serious analyst at the moment seems to require a lot of hand-wringing and sneering over how awful Congress looked the past few days as it rushed a “fiscal cliff” deal into law.  

So permit me to burn my membership card in the League of Commentators and Pundits.

Comments, questions, or corrections, are welcome and will be responded to and distributed with attribution, unless the writer requests that he/she not be identified.

The Fiscal Cliff

In my last post entitled "We Interrupt this Debate for Some Timely Comments.” I commended to the reader an article entitled “President Obama: The Democrats' Ronald Reagan” but introduced my subject with: “As the impending fiscal cliff moves ever closer, some timely observations appear to be in order and they will follow soon.” and that will be the main subject of this commentary.

In the meantime, however, the tragedy in Newtown, Connecticut cannot be ignored or as Ernst Hauser of the Bronx and Manhattan, NY said:

Yesterday’s events have interrupted the interruption - since the Supreme Court has chosen to break the SECOND AMENDMENT into 2 pieces, separating the "well regulated militia" and the "right to bear arms" the time has come to REPEAL it and replace it with a clearer worded one, that neither the CJ nor Scalia could twist. In the meantime Congress could repass the Brady bill, without an expiration date or time.

So much has been said on this subject that I have not much to add, except to observe that the tragedy in Newport, Connecticut is dwarfed by the carnage that goes on every day throughout the US without much publicity. The Brady Center to Prevent Gun Violence reports that more than 30,000 people are killed by guns in this nation each year. Yet this daily tragedy, neither commands the attention of the media, nor the attention of the nation.

Is this because multiple deaths occurring at the same time and place make for better headlines than smaller numbers occurring simultaneously, but in different places?

Or is it because such a large percentage of the victims of gun violence are black?

The first possibility is bad. The second is outrageous. 

The Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention of the Department of Justice reports: “Young African-American males have the most elevated homicide victimization rate of any race or gender group. Homicides involving firearms have been the leading cause of death for African-American males ages 15 to 19 since 1969.”

Whatever the reason, the lack of attention to this ongoing carnage by the media is a disgrace.

Now to the Fiscal Cliff!

I find myself disturbed here not only by the distortions on the Right, but by the blasé attitude toward the Cliff on the part of the Left. Thus I have started to get e-mails from an organization styling itself as AmericasDemocrats.org, which refers to that looming calamity as “the so-called fiscal cliff -- and why going over it might not be so bad.” Some suggest that it would take a long time for its effects to be felt. And the rest of the Left blogosphere, while not going quite this far, proclaims the slogan: “No Deal is better than a Bad deal.” While I have no difficulty agreeing with this in principle, I find that these self-styled “Liberals” define a “Bad Deal” as anything that makes the slightest change in the Entitlement programs.

Yes, it might be necessary for the President to allow the country to go over the Cliff rather than to give in to the constant blackmail by those who have decided that they can get their way by taking the Nation hostage, but the failure on the part of the Left to recognize the seriousness of this step, or to downplay it, is deeply disturbing, to say the least.

Let us understand what it means!

I quote from pages one and two of a 10 page paper released by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), the highly respected non-partisan arm of Congress, entitled: “Economic Effects of Reducing the Fiscal Restraint That Is Scheduled to Occur in 2013.” 

“Under current law, the federal budget deficit will fall dramatically between 2012 and 2013 owing to scheduled increases in taxes and, to a lesser extent, scheduled reductions in spending—a development that some observers have referred to as a ‘fiscal cliff.’ … The resulting weakening of the economy will lower taxable incomes and raise unemployment…” (Emphasis added) 

“If measured for calendar years 2012 and 2013, the amount of fiscal restraint is even larger. Most of the policy changes that reduce the deficit are scheduled to take effect at the beginning of calendar year 2013, so budget figures for fiscal year 2013—which begins in October 2012—reflect only about three-quarters of the effects of those policies on an annual basis. 

“CBO expects—with the economy projected to contract at an annual rate of 1.3 percent in the first half of the year and expand at an annual rate of 2.3 percent in the second half. Given the pattern of past recessions as identified by the National Bureau of Economic Research, such a contraction in output in the first half of 2013 would probably be judged to be a recession.“ (Emphasis added)

Furthermore, Christine Lagarde has urged US leaders to reach a deal to avoid the "fiscal cliff,” warning that the uncertainty was damaging the global economy. The head of the International Monetary Fund told the BBC's Katty Kay that the US had a duty "to try to remove uncertainty and doubt as quickly as possible.” 

Even as early as December 12, 2012 Reuters reported that Dupont was already curtailing spending due to the imminence of the fiscal cliff. 

Furthermore, failure to reach agreement and falling over the cliff means that unemployment insurance checks stop being paid as of Dec. 29 resulting in “about 2.1 million Americans loos(ing) their extended jobless benefits … (and) An additional 930,000 people will run out of unemployment insurance in early 2013. 

Anyone reading this analysis can see the consequences are real and they are serious. Going over the cliff cannot be approached lightly, and from a political standpoint, if it must be endured, it must be clear to the American people that there was no real choice.

This is the President’s dilemma. He cannot stonewall, as the Left would have him do! He cannot cave to their laments, “No changes to Social Security, to Medicare, to Medicaid.” He must be, and he must appear to be, reasonable. It must be crystal clear that if this calamity were to happen that it was Republican intransigence that was to blame.

The Left keeps screaming: “We need more jobs” and it ignores that falling off the cliff will increase unemployment and increase the hardship of the unemployed.

Furthermore these strident voices ignore that more is at stake than entitlements.

Eduardo Porter writing in the New York Times of December 19, 2012, points out that “loath to raise taxes on the middle class yet unwilling to cut deeply into the budgets for Social Security or Medicare, the president and his advisers proposed cutting the discretionary part of the budget devoted to everything except defense and other security agencies to 1.7 percent of economic output by 2022, down from 3.1 percent last year” but there is not a word about such cuts from the Left. For the Left it appears that nothing matters other than entitlements.

But there is much at stake here!! Possibly more than even entitlements. To quote from the article: “It pays subsidies for higher education and housing assistance for the poor. It finances the National Institutes of Health and the Food and Drug Administration. It pays for the Federal Emergency Management Agency and training programs for unemployed workers.” But even Porter leaves out much of what is in that part of the budget. How about National Parks? How about the budget for the SEC and our other regulatory agencies? How about the budget of the IRS, where for every cut in its enforcement budget, we lose a multiple in tax revenues. I could go on and on. What about spending on infrastructure? See here. But I don’t hear any concern from the Left.

I know that we live in an age of slogans, and the pretense of simple solutions, in an age of short columns and short attention spans, but unless we focus on what is truly at stake and how difficult the choices are, we undermine the very things we value. Entitlements are very important, but they are not the be all and the end all.

And then comes the final straw from this new messenger from the Left. This AmericasDemocrats.org gives the impression that it is connected to the Democratic Party. Not only is this not true, but it gives us this bit of revisionist history. It tells us:

Did you know that Democratic “bosses” made FDR accept Harry Truman as vice president?

Did you know that Truman was “very anti-Semitic and racist”?

Did you know that Japan did not surrender primarily because of the atom bomb?

The first is not true. No one could make Roosevelt do anything he did not want to do and he demonstrated this four years before when he wanted Henry Wallace on his ticket, by being prepared to threaten not to run if Wallace was not his running mate.

As for the second, it was Truman who signed an executive order integrating the military at a time when most still thought of African-Americans as inferior, and it was Truman who against the strong opposition of his Secretary of State, George Marshall, recognized the State of Israel.

The website sets forth a view of the Cold War that can only be described as being out of playbook of the then communist party, blaming the cold war on Truman and American Imperialism. For more on Wallace, see here and particularly the sections on “The 1948 Presidential election” and “Later career”.

Next time I will return to the discussions with my readers, which I left off on December 4, 2012 with The President’s Re-election (More Discussion III)