Thursday, August 30, 2012

The Election


It has not been so long since I said "Adieu." The response was gratifying as can be seen from my post "Adieu (Comments)" but it did not solve either the problem of the small size of my audience, nor its consumption of an amount of my time that forced neglect of many of my personal duties and interests.

Nevertheless, I am back because I can no longer endure the apathy that seems to be greeting this campaign, and I cringe when I hear of people saying, “Well, I will vote for Obama, but will make no further effort. He has disappointed me.” So allow me to say, nay shout from the rooftops, this election is not about Obama. This election is not about you; this election is not about me.

This election is about the heart and soul of America!!! It is about the survival of the USA as a great power. It is about the future of our children, and our children’s children. It is about the survival of our middle class, which has been the source of the nation’s success, and the envy of the world.

Since the election of Ronald Reagan in 1980 there has been an inexorable decline of the Middle Class in America. There has been a steady redistribution of wealth upward. Slowly but steadily. First we found that families had to have two breadwinners to earn enough to stay in the middle class. We thought that this meant progress because we associated it with the Women’s Movement that allowed women their place in the workplace, and it was a good thing that women could now, for the first time make careers as lawyers, as doctors, and even to a limited extent as CEOs. What we didn’t see was that this had not become a freedom, a choice; it had become a necessity. Without two wage-earners it was no longer possible to stay in the middle class.

It used to be that every generation could look forward to the next generation doing better than the previous one. This is no longer true, except for people like Trump, like the Bushes, like Romney, who begin life with all the advantages of coming from the wealthy aristocracy. It used to be the landed aristocracy – now wealth is held differently, but it is no different.

Our tax code used to be graduated. During the last year of the Republican Administration of Dwight Eisenhower in 1960, there were 24 tax brackets ranging from 20% to 91% on all incomes over $400,000. To be sure $400,000 in today’s dollars is the equivalent of over three million dollars. But it used to be 65% on all incomes over $64,000, the equivalent of half a million in today’s dollars and as I have said 91% on incomes over three million dollars. No wonder the Federal government now cannot pay its bills without huge deficits or by decimating government services. But they tell us that high taxes on the rich (they have renamed them “job creators” - clever) keep the economy from thriving. Really? Was the Eisenhower economy bad? Was the Bush economy good? What about the Clinton economy? Even Reagan had high taxes and after lowering them too much, increased them by the largest amount in history according to the right-wing website The Free Market.

Our tax code now has Romney, with his hundreds of millions, paying a tax rate by his own account of 13%. I, like most middle class families, pay more than that, and if Romney wins we will pay more, he and those similarly situated, will pay substantially less. Where will the money to meet our needs come from?

Are we going to end up with a tax system similar to the one that existed under the French monarchy before the revolution, where nobility (read today - the wealthy) held the highest positions and were exempt from taxes?

This election is not about the deficit.  It is not about the size of government.  It isn’t even about jobs.

This election is not about the deficit.

These are phony issues cooked up by the Republican Tea Party, and promoted by our craven media echo chamber. According to the Tea Party's website the Ryan-proposed budget would balance the budget in 2040 or eighteen years from now. Does that sound like a plan that has real concern with balancing the budget, particularly when it is considered that at the beginning of the last Republican Administration the United States had a projected federal budget surpluses for the indefinite future and with Ryan’s support, put through policies that wiped out the surpluses and substituted deficits as far as the eye can see. Furthermore even the 2040 projection seems phony because to achieve them would require the elimination of tax expenditures, which have not been specified, and which appear to be nothing but pie in the sky, or worse, would further impact the middle class and the poor.

Is it about the size of government?

It is about the role of government The proposals are for increasing the military, doing away with Roe vs. Wade and increasing government intrusion into the bedroom of every married or unmarried couple, and even blocking access to contraception services. It is not likely to reduce abortion, since unwanted pregnancies would increase as contraceptive services decrease, but rather move abortion for desperate women from the offices of reputable physicians to the back alleys of yore.

It would increase surveillance of our citizenry while reducing their constitutional rights in the name of the war on terrorists and would continue the war on drugs, while taking us into what may well be perpetual war, in an effort to protect the profits of our defense industries and by creating a gun culture that feeds the profits of gun makers.

It is not about the size of government. It is about the role of government. It is whether government’s role is to protect us from the avarice and the dishonesty of the unscrupulous who inhabit too much of our banking and business sector, or whether government should become the protectors of these so called job creators, who have no interest in creating jobs, but whose object by definition is to maximize profits. It is whether government is to be the ally of the Gordon Gekkos of the world, or the protectors of their victims. The media has accepted without question that Staples was a job creator. But were they? For every job they created how many small stationery stores, the real small businesses of the USA, went bust. How many of the owners of these businesses were forced into bankruptcy and how many of their employees lost their jobs. How good are Staples' jobs? $8.92, $8.47, $9.35 an hour. See here.
  
It isn’t even about jobs.

It is about jobs in the minds of the public. But there is nothing in the Republican program that on the basis of experience is likely to improve the jobs picture. Just as The Democratic Clinton Administration handed the Republican party a positive economy and a good jobs picture which in eight years they decimated, so it is more than likely that a return to the policies that destroyed jobs and brought us to the edge of depression, would only exacerbate the jobs picture. High unemployment is not exactly something that makes employers unhappy. It puts downward pressure on wages, and cheap labor is something that our rich, re-named job creators, relish.

Their supply-side economics may sound good in textbooks of the Chicago school, but they have proven time and time again as fallacious in the real world. Jobs, as experience has proven, time and time again, are created when demand for goods and services exist. No employer will hire to create goods or services for which there is no demand. No matter how much money is on hand, no matter how low taxes, no employer hires, unless he/she needs those employees. All is circular. When demand falls because of unemployment, or low wages, or because consumers have over extended themselves, employers will reduce employees because they don’t need them. This loss of jobs decreases the ability to make purchases, further decreasing demand, which lead to further layoffs, etc. The reverse is equally true! When money is placed into the hands of consumers, by the only entity that can do so in a declining economy, the government, it increases demand, requiring the production of more goods, which requires the hiring of staff, which increases demand, etc. The only time this fails is when demand outstrips supply, which leads to inflation, not something that is a threat in the foreseeable future.

What is this election about?

This election is truly a class struggle. Republicans tell us by calling it that we are in some way preaching a communist doctrine. But calling something what it is, is never any doctrine. As I have indicated, we have had over thirty years of an inexorable decline of the middle class, which was exacerbated during 8 years of the last Republican Administration. The last time we had a chance to reverse this trend was at the end of the Clinton Administration. Clinton was hampered not only by Republican obstructionism, but by the deficit he inherited from the Reagan/Bush years, (and when we look at the record we find that despite the propaganda, the party of deficits is the Republican party) which made desperately needed expenditures undesirable. With our fiscal situation in order and improving further, the election of Al Gore could have ushered in a period of American constructive growth. At the same time with Republican Supreme Court Justice Sandra Day O’Connor retiring, Gore could have swung the Supreme Court in a more liberal direction. Maybe that is why for the first time in American history the Supreme Court stepped in and decreed George W. Bush the winner.

Bush cemented the Republican majority on the court, which now decreed in the “United case” that money is speech, and that the right to use money to buy elections; to intimidate opponents; and to dominate the political landscape has constitutional protection.

And we had the Bush tax cuts, the war in Iraq, which has removed a counter-weight to Iran and created a Shiite state with a natural affinity to Iran, which together turned the Clinton surpluses into huge deficits and further undermined the middle class.

If Republicans win this election they will secure a majority on the Court that will be unchallengeable for decades, and will embolden the court further.

They will push through further tax cuts that will further empower the rich, who will push through further cuts. The circle works here too. Money leads to power – power to money – money to more power, to more money, etc.

Before the next four years are over, they very likely will have succeeded in making their vision irreversible. Medicare gone, not for us, but certainly for our children and grandchildren. Social Security gone –not for us, but certainly for our children and grandchildren. Continuing rising Health care costs, but the burden moved from society to the individual, and with that good health care only for the rich. Ever greater impoverishment of the poor and near poor as the minimum wage is, at the least, allowed to be decimated over the years by inflation, and quite possibly abolished, and the ladder out of poverty, and upward mobility, already shredded, disappears.

The despoilment of our air and water as the EPA is at least undermined, and very likely abolished.

I could go on and on and some will say I exaggerate. I don’t !!!! Most of what I warn will happen is in the Republican platform. They have said they will do it. Why would one doubt it?

Can Democrats stop all this with the filibuster? Not likely. Once the Tea Party people have control of all branches of government, they will end the filibuster, which they will no longer need and reign supreme.

What will happen to our schools? What made the US great was that we were the first to institute a class free educational system with high school free. In the 21st century we need state colleges to be tuition free. Instead we already see a trend where private college tuition is skyrocketing and public institutions are not far behind. We need to reverse this. But a Republican victory will exacerbate it. Less and less money for public schools, larger classes and increasingly obsolescent buildings and plants, a trend already under way.

And our public schools will teach Creationism instead of Evolution, the Denial of Global Warming, and all about Adam and Eve. Maybe not in all states, but in quite a few!

All this does not even cover the many other areas that are threatened. Our prisons turned over to private industry so that prisoners can be used as profit centers, something akin to slavery. Increasing attempts to disenfranchise minorities, the poor, and the aged.

What about federal lands that have been owned by the nation since they were acquired. Romney has already proposed they be turned over to the states. And what will many states do? Sell them off so they can cut taxes!

I don’t agree with much of what Ryan says, but I do agree with him on this quote: “We're not just picking the next president for a few years. We are picking the pathway for America for a generation.”
Some will say I am playing Cassandra. I am afraid that I am, because like Cassandra who warned the Trojans of “the destruction of Troy (… about the Trojan Horse the death of Agamemnon, and her own demise), (but) she was unable to do anything to forestall these tragedies since no one believed her.” 
What can we do to stop this tragedy? We can start by taking the threat seriously. We can stop talking about our disappointments with the President, and we can start taking the election as the most important thing in our lives.

That means contributing money till it hurts. It means joining phone banks. It means doing all that is within our power to forestall the tragedy that looms for our country and posterity. And it means distributing this warning to all your friends, acquaintances, and anyone else who will listen.

Yes, it is that serious.