Showing posts with label Ross Douthat. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ross Douthat. Show all posts

Sunday, January 08, 2012

Discussions With My Readership


I posted my last commentary on December 12, 2011. For those who may want to re-read it, it can be found under the title "The Deficit Reduction Committee I and II (Discussion)."

In that post Robert Malchman, Esq. of Brooklyn, NY reacted to a rebuttal that I had made to a column written by Charles Krauthammer with: "using your skills on someone like Klownhammer is like using a flamethrower on a strawman." In response thereto, I offered to consider a column by Ross Douthat entitled "An Argument Against Redistribution," which has more meat to it for rebuttal. However, I concluded with an invitation for additional comments, and many came. Therefore, before I venture on new ground, let me share with you the comments, some of which covered new grounds, and the exchanges to which they led.


Former Judge Edwin S. Bernstein Esq. of Boynton Beach Florida spoke to me on the telephone and said some things that disturbed me, prompting me to write the following rebuttal:


Apropos our telephone conversation, you aroused my curiosity about where my parents were born, causing me to use Google to see what I could find. I told you my mother was born in Zalishchyky, which could possibly be called a shtetl. According to its web site: it has a population of 13.000 people. The 1772 census listed 159 Jewish families in Zalishchyky. The Germans sent 200 Jews to the Kamionka (Kamyanka) labor camp; about 40 others were sent to a nearby army camp and forced to dig mass graves. Soon the other 800 were brought there and gunned down. 

           
However, my mother had left there with my grandmother when my mother was quite young and settled in Vienna, Austria. My mother was born in the late 19th century. During 1772 - 1918 Zalishchyky belonged to the Austrian empire (later Austrian-Hungarian empire when the double monarchy was introduced in Austria). This is important to me, because my mother always claimed that since at the time of her birth the city was part of Austria, she was born in Austria. But the US authorities classified her as Polish because at the time of desired immigration to the US (1938-1939) it was part of Poland. 
           
This was crucial and almost cost her life because the Austrian immigration quota was a favorable one, and if she had been classified Austrian she could have come to the US with her children in 1938, instead of having to wait until 1939 for her Visa, which she obtained while a refugee in Italy.

A similar story applies to my father, who was born in Lemberg, which was also part of Austria when he was born, but which was part of Poland in 1938. Its population in 1869 was 87,109 of whom 26,694 were Jews; in 1890 it was 127,943, including 36,130 Jews; in 1900 there were 44,801 Jews in a total population of 159,618, probably too large to be called a shtetl. 
           
Same immigration classification by the US. Had my mother not had a Visa forged, he would have died in the Buchenwald concentration camp.
           
With all our claims (US) of being hospitable to immigration, such quotas and exclusion acts make it a motley tale.
           
On our political discussion, I am very disappointed that you do not seem to be reading my blog postings. They would frequently prevent you from adopting "facts" that are wrong. I write them not to express opinions, which in most cases my readers share, or at least have similar opinions to mine, but to make sure my readers are familiar with relevant facts, toward which end I spend many hours doing research. 
           
For example I was bothered by some of the comments you made, e.g. that we ought to cut foreign aid, which arises from a neo-isolationism that has gained popularity both on the Left and Right. Please take the time to click on the following.
           
As you will readily see we are not a generous nation. Less than one per cent of our federal budget goes to foreign aid. US aid, as a percent of personal income, is second to last among wealthy nations. We give about 25 cents per American per year in foreign aid. Our total aid in dollar amount is $47.7 billion of which economic assistance is $33.9 billion, and that includes helping African babies avoid the scourge of Aids, Malaria, etc and helping hurricane, earthquake and tsunami victims. Would you argue we should not extend such help? Military assistance comes to $13.7 billion. Of that almost $4 billion goes to Israel and another $1.5 billion goes to Egypt to persuade it to keep the peace with Israel. See here.
           
As for interest on our debt, our treasury notes pay an astounding less that 1% on 30 year notes (see here) and less than 3% on average. See here.
           
As a result the present debt is not a significant problem, but projections into the future are troublesome. At the moment Republicans are using it as a wedge to try to destroy our safety net and regulatory structure. Every one of their budgets and proposals actually would increase the debt, not decrease it. (This is documented at length on my blog postings.)
           
Republicans keep arguing that the government should act more like a business, but not a single business functions without incurring debt, (which is why our banking system is so crucial and why it they had to be rescued) nor do individuals. Very few could buy a house without incurring debt, and most need to incur debt to buy large items such as a car. Borrowing, so as to do that which brings a bigger return than the interest on the debt, such as infrastructure, makes sense, always has, and always will.
           
On the other hand, Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid are not sustainable without some changes. Republican changes would amount to ending them, but Dems must make changes that will not necessarily be popular, but without changes these programs will not survive. I have written on this subject on my blog in the past, and will, in due course, discuss it in greater detail.

Some time later Bernstein commented on my post entitled "The Deficit Reduction Committee I and II (Discussion)" writing:

As always, I enjoy reading your blog and its comments. As I have said all too many times, our basic problem is the influence that money has on elected officials. This is especially true in Defense spending, where a grateful representative urges retaining unnecessary defense hardware to please his contributors - and his friends in Congress reciprocate. The cure is a Constitutional Amendment limiting contributions to elected officials. It is highly unlikely that this will occur. In its absence, perhaps the answer is something I have opposed in the past – term limits. 

To which I responded:

I hadn't planned to address the issue of money in politics in the near future, but since you raise it, and since it is one of the most corrosive influences in our government, I will address it soon, maybe in my next post.
                       
At this point let me just say that the problem is not just the "the influence that money has on elected officials." It has a much broader sweep than that. It infects our military procurement officers; it infects our regulatory agencies; it infects the staff of our officials; it effects our judges right up to the Supreme Court. You are Right that the cure is a constitutional amendment limiting contributions to elected officials, or at least giving Congress the power to do so. We need a Constitutional amendment stating that corporations are not persons, as persons are referred to in the Constitution, and that nothing in the Constitution shall limit Congress' power to regulate Corporations.
                       
We need an amendment that says money is not speech, and nothing in the Constitution shall limit Congress power to limit or regulate the collection, receipt, or expenditure of money in the political process, except the equal protection clause.
                       
Obama meant well when he decreed that lobbyists shall not serve in his Administration, but it should be the other way around. We need laws that forbid anyone who has served in the government from ever thereafter accepting employment from any individual or corporation who was effected by any act during such person's tenure in government, or from accepting any gratuity or fee from such person or persons for the remainder of their life.
                       
The delayed bribe for government services rendered is a greater problem that the money spent during campaigns.
                       
As for term limits, they accomplish nothing, and in fact are counter productive. The elimination of good people from government service by term limits is a great loss. It takes time to learn the job and term limits remove experienced people just when they become most effective, without any reason to believe that their successors will be an improvement. Stability is a valuable trait. I would, in fact, like to remove term limits from the Presidency.
                       
You are right it is all but impossible to accomplish these things, but they are so important that I think an effort in this direction is warranted. It may take years, or decades but it is so important, that the debate needs to begin. 
                       
How long did it take to gain women's suffrage? How long to emancipate African-Americans, and they are still not truly emancipated. 

If I address this as a full commentary, I will go into the many ways money corrupts, many of which are far from obvious.
                       
But it isn't only money; it is the gerrymander. We need federal rules that set the criteria for creating districts. Each with an equal population (within say 2%) contiguous, without dividing subdivisions such as towns or counties and providing that minorities be represented within (say 5%) of the population, and that the lines be drawn by computer based on these criterion.
                       
Of course, the filibuster must be abolished. It is ridiculous for us to be told that the vote was, e.g. 59 in favor - 39 opposed - the bill is defeated. Why do we have gridlock? It is the most important reason though there are others. The rule about not attaching non-Germaine items to a bill needs to be enforced.

Comments are welcome and will be distributed with attribution unless the writer requests that he/she not be identified.

Monday, December 12, 2011

The Deficit Reduction Committee I and II (Discussion)


I posted and distributed my commentary "The Deficit Reduction Committee" on November 28, 2011 and "The Deficit Reduction Committee II" on December 4, 2011. I received comments on both and would like to take this opportunity to share them with you. On the first of the two posts:

Ernest Hauser of the Bronx, NY responded to the following observation, which I made:
So we have ended up with $1.2 trillion cuts going into effect beginning in 2013. $600 billion of that will be in defense spending which is in addition to a cut of $450 billion previously agreed to. Not the worst of all possible outcomes, and in 2013 the Bush tax cuts will expire. No Congressional action is needed. Beginning in 2013 the deficit will be reduced over the following ten years by 6.1 trillion. The hammer of using the deficit to justify attacks on needed spending will be gone. Not bad negotiating by our President.
with:

I don't think for one minute that the Republicans having bet and lost will let things go; they are already planning to cut the defense dept budget out of the deal. The generals are planning to cut the medical benefits for dependents and retirees rather then losing one planned multi-billion $ carrier or another new plane.

To which I replied:

They can plan all they want, but executing is another matter.

As far taking defense cuts out of the deal, the President has already said he will veto it if they get through both Houses of Congress, with a 60 vote threshold in the Senate. As for the generals they don't run the defense establishment. The President as Commander in Chief does.

As for medical benefits for military retirees, see the observations of Albert Nekimken below.

Republicans have boxed themselves into a corner and have been outwitted by Obama.

Albert Nekimken of Vienna, Virginia added this observation:

Bravo on a well-written and well-conceived comment. 

 I would add the reminder that Robert Gates also told congress before he departed that the uncontrolled growth of health care (and pension?) costs for the military was unsustainable and must be reformed. (Which without having seen Hauser’s comment appears to be a rejoinder to it)

On the point of what the correct size and scope of the U.S. military establishment ought to be there is clearly a large gap between the views of Republicans and Democrats. The Republicans believe fervently that the U.S. (apparently due to its Christian, moral superiority and exceptional mission in the world) must retain the ability to dominate the world everywhere by force of arms, while Democrats believe that the U.S. is, and should be, only one of many major players in world events. Further, Democrats see attempts by Americans to assure military domination as counter-productive. By coincidence, the primary beneficiaries of the Republican view are defense contractors

And, as we know, one of the largest contributors to the general federal deficit is Medicare and Medicaid. All evidence accumulated to date corroborates that the problem is a lack of control on the "spending" side of the system and the primary causes are an open checkbook to vendors of medical supplies and services, excluding doctors who have already been squeezed hard by prior reforms. To my mind, this forces us to reconsider either a single-payer federal health care system for all citizens, civilian, military and members of congress, or a system of private health insurance that is highly regulated by the federal government as are utilities with limits on profit margin and controls on prices as well as coverage. As an aside, the "individual mandate" idea was ill-conceived from the beginning. National healthcare needs a dedicated source of revenue such as general tax receipts or a national sales tax on all goods and services.

Regarding your criticism of the media for not doing their job, I disagree insofar as we do want news reporters to maintain a line between factual journalism and comment, or other editorial analysis. Your real criticism seems not that the facts are not being made available, but that the analysts have been prostituted into eviscerating their own logical conclusions.

 Overall, I think your views of the consequences of the failure of the supercommittee are accurate.

I did not respond to the observations on Health Care, but I disagree, and will address this subject at a later time, when the subject is Reform of our Health Care System.

On the second of my two posts Robert Malchman responded to my analysis of a Krauthammer column with:

 Does anyone who doesn't believe in Fox News-eque fairy tales, lies and manipulations take Charles Krautkopf -- excuse me, Krauthammer -- seriously? Debunking Krauthammer is like debunking Santa Claus, if instead of a merry, gift-giving elf, Santa were a bitter, miserly troll. I can see taking on politicians who at least have some influence, even nutjobs like Herman Cain because his 9-9-9 plan needed a response like the 4.5-4.5-4.5 one you provided. But using your skills on someone like Klownhammer is like using a flamethrower on a strawman.

To which I issued the following challenge:

Who do you think would be a worthy columnist for a critical analysis of their views? If you would like, nominate someone, and if you are so inclined, I would be happy to have you suggest a particular column for dissection. Would George Will be better? Ann Coulter? Bill Kristol? You name it!

Malchman retorted:

Will and Kristol are at least serious people. Coulter is a self-promoter who believes in nothing but her own self-aggrandizement; her goal is simply to shock and to draw attention to herself, so the best thing one can do is to ignore her. (Did you know she was two years ahead of me in law school? I only knew her by sight, but she did not have the reputation for being insane yet, only a Federalist Society-style conservative; that's what leads me to believe her public persona is an act.)
           
To which I repeated my challenge by saying:

 I await your nomination. Hopefully, a specific column, but if that is asking too much, your choice of a columnist and I will look for a column. There is no rush. Give it some thought and find a column that would be a challenge.

No specific nomination came, but I am considering a column by Ross Douthat entitled: “An Argument Against Redistribution," which has more meat to it, for rebuttal.

In the meantime your comments and observations are welcome and will be distributed with attribution, unless you request to remain anonymous.


With the holidays fast approaching I will take a sabbatical until after the New Year has rung in. Until then חנוכה שמח, Joyeux Noël and Feliz Año Nuevo or Happy Chanukah, Merry Christmas and Happy New Year.